Social Media Tech Bubble: Myth or Real?

Mashable has a good piece on the Social Media Tech bubble. Do you think companies like Facebook, Twitter and Groupon have over inflated evaluations, with 30-50x their annual earnings?

I did a bit of my own number crunching by comparing two sets of public traded companies (traditional and web focused) alongside social media.

Evaluation on market cap vs total revenue for Facebook, Twitter and Groupon

The graph makes sense, established technologies have lower risk/lower rewards, and social media offers more potential, so is priced with a premium. As time goes on, social media would nudge down to more realistic numbers. But then some new technology will take the lead spot with even crazier evaluations. This could perhaps be social mobile apps? For instance, Color has recently raised +40 million for a mobile app that has no revenue stream. They even spent $350K on securing a color.com domain. Probably the highest domain purchase for a startup with no sales.

 

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Zaki Usman

Hello, I'm the founder and CEO at ShoutEx. I like to blog about marketing, mobile and web topics. Feel free to connect with me on LinkedIn.

Comments (4)

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    Big Mel

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    These social media companies are the top of the line – they are getting the best eyes to look at them because they have a good service/idea/concept. There are tons of other social media firms that aren’t worth as high, and frankly may not be around by end of next year.

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    Sam Chen

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    It’s all hype, Reminds me of the dot.com bubble from exactly 10 years ago.

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    • Avatar

      Zaki Usman

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      That’s so true. But the companies I listed here, have more of a solid track record.

      Reply

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    Mat Tadeo

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    I get a feeling its all pretty much a bubble. I remember the dot.com craze in the late 1990s. It was similar and then everything came crashing down. I get a feeling this is with the over inflated prizes of some of these social players. Seriously, what do they actually produce to justify this stock price?

    Reply

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